First off, I appreciate the e-mails yesterday from people wondering where DonkeyDigest went. No, we weren’t hacked and no, my host didn’t censor my blog. Apparently they had a virus run through their systems Friday and the effects caused several websites, including mine, to be dumped. Fortunately they had a back-up and I only lost one post. It was a particulary good post and I’m sorry it got nuked, but such is life. There are more important things to attend to.
The election. Tuesday. The day after tomorrow. If you’re here and reading this you have at least some interest in what’s going to happen Tuesday and, unless there is a server meltdown again at my hosting company, I’ll be here to provide stats, results, and news. So let’s get caught up.
As of Friday, both Real Clear Politics and Political State Report are predicting a +6 gain for Democrats in the Senate, giving them a 51-49 majority. On the House side, both are projecting a pickup of 18 seats for Democrats, which will give them a majority by five seats. MajorityWatch predicts a massive net gain of 39 seats for the Democratic party.
A new Newsweek/MSNBC poll shows the Republican party continues to lose ground.
The new poll finds support for Republicans (and for President Bush) receding. For example, 53 percent of Americans want the Democrats to win enough seats to take control of one or both houses of Congress in the midterm elections on Tuesday. Those results are close to early October levels, while less than a third of Americans (32 percent) want Republicans to retain control. If the elections were held today, 54 percent of likely voters say they would support the Democratic candidate in their district versus 38 percent who would vote for the Republican-a 16-point edge for the Democrats.
Matthew Dallek of the LA Times explains how Democrats are defying the Republican charge of “cut and run.”
Ironically, the majority of the Democrats in tight political races are not the cut-and-run types that President Bush’s senior strategist, Karl Rove, would have you believe. If elected, they are unlikely to lead any charge toward the exits in Iraq… The media’s coverage of the midterm campaigns has tended to portray Democratic candidates as all over the map on Iraq, but in truth, Democrats are more united on what to do in Iraq than at any point since 2002, when they debated whether to authorize the use of force to topple Saddam Hussein: They are not in favor of cutting and running.